Yazar
Paker, Evren Balta, Demiralp, S., Demiralp, S.
Basım Tarihi
2023-10-20
Basım Yeri
-
Taylor & Francis
Konu
Economic crisis, Economic voting, Partizanship, Voter defection, Voter vulnerability
Tür
Süreli Yayın
Dil
İngilizce
Dijital
Evet
Yazma
Hayır
Kütüphane
Özyeğin Üniversitesi
Demirbaş Numarası
1468-3849
Kayıt Numarası
1a180fa1-2868-4a94-bf23-748ad3d6a712
Lokasyon
International Relations
Tarih
2023-10-20
Örnek Metin
This study examines patterns of voter defection from Turkey’s incumbent AKP amid major economic and democratic decline. As in other electoral autocracies, defectors constitute a small but politically significant group in Turkey, where the opposition’s ability to secure a transition from authoritarianism depends on reducing the incumbent’s vote share. Based on survey data gathered in November 2021 and February 2022, we find that while the high level of partizanship among AKP voters hinders defection, persistent economic and democratic decline still reduces incumbent support. We also found that defections are higher outside of the lowest income group. Our findings have important implications for opposition strategies in electoral autocracies. Directing public debate away from identity issues to economic and democratic problems increases the likelihood of defection. In addition, offering voters clear superior alternatives decreases the cost of uncertainty that comes with change and increases the likelihood of defection.
DOI
10.1080/14683849.2023.2200941
Cilt
24
