Debating voter defection in Turkey

Name: Debating voter defection in Turkey
Author: Paker, Evren Balta, Demiralp, S., Demiralp, S.

İsim	Debating voter defection in Turkey
Yazar	Paker, Evren Balta, Demiralp, S., Demiralp, S.
Basım Tarihi:	2023-10-20
Basım Yeri	- Taylor & Francis
Konu	Economic crisis, Economic voting, Partizanship, Voter defection, Voter vulnerability
Tür	Süreli Yayın
Dil	İngilizce
Dijital	Evet
Yazma	Hayır
Kütüphane:	Özyeğin Üniversitesi
Demirbaş Numarası	1468-3849
Kayıt Numarası	1a180fa1-2868-4a94-bf23-748ad3d6a712
Lokasyon	International Relations
Tarih	2023-10-20
Örnek Metin	This study examines patterns of voter defection from Turkey’s incumbent AKP amid major economic and democratic decline. As in other electoral autocracies, defectors constitute a small but politically significant group in Turkey, where the opposition’s ability to secure a transition from authoritarianism depends on reducing the incumbent’s vote share. Based on survey data gathered in November 2021 and February 2022, we find that while the high level of partizanship among AKP voters hinders defection, persistent economic and democratic decline still reduces incumbent support. We also found that defections are higher outside of the lowest income group. Our findings have important implications for opposition strategies in electoral autocracies. Directing public debate away from identity issues to economic and democratic problems increases the likelihood of defection. In addition, offering voters clear superior alternatives decreases the cost of uncertainty that comes with change and increases the likelihood of defection.
DOI	10.1080/14683849.2023.2200941
Cilt	24

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Debating voter defection in Turkey

Yazar Paker, Evren Balta, Demiralp, S., Demiralp, S.

Basım Tarihi 2023-10-20

Basım Yeri - Taylor & Francis

Konu Economic crisis, Economic voting, Partizanship, Voter defection, Voter vulnerability

Tür Süreli Yayın

Dil İngilizce

Dijital Evet

Yazma Hayır

Kütüphane Özyeğin Üniversitesi

Demirbaş Numarası 1468-3849

Kayıt Numarası 1a180fa1-2868-4a94-bf23-748ad3d6a712

Lokasyon International Relations

Tarih 2023-10-20

Örnek Metin This study examines patterns of voter defection from Turkey’s incumbent AKP amid major economic and democratic decline. As in other electoral autocracies, defectors constitute a small but politically significant group in Turkey, where the opposition’s ability to secure a transition from authoritarianism depends on reducing the incumbent’s vote share. Based on survey data gathered in November 2021 and February 2022, we find that while the high level of partizanship among AKP voters hinders defection, persistent economic and democratic decline still reduces incumbent support. We also found that defections are higher outside of the lowest income group. Our findings have important implications for opposition strategies in electoral autocracies. Directing public debate away from identity issues to economic and democratic problems increases the likelihood of defection. In addition, offering voters clear superior alternatives decreases the cost of uncertainty that comes with change and increases the likelihood of defection.

DOI 10.1080/14683849.2023.2200941

Cilt 24