Housing market dynamics with delays in the construction sector

Title Housing market dynamics with delays in the construction sector
Author Bahadır, Berrak, Mykhaylova, O.
Publication Date: 2014-12
Publication Place - Elsevier
Subject House prices, Building permits, Construction delays, Supply shocks
Type Periodical
Language English
Digital Yes
Manuscript No
Library: Özyeğin University
Library Asset ID 1051-1377
Record ID 15565d64-6326-4a48-bac6-cf8fd204462b
Library Location Economics
Date 2014-12
Sample Text Housing supply is subject to several types of delays. On average, it takes 6 months to get approved for a residential building permit and another 2–4 quarters to complete a construction project. We present a simple two-sector model that incorporates these observations and show that the effect of these delays is not uniform: while they amplify the response of house prices to demand shocks, they dampen the effects of housing supply shocks. Moreover, construction activity depends on the relative duration of the shocks and the construction delays: delays dampen construction booms following temporary shocks, but exaggerate building activity following permanent changes in demand or supply conditions. Our results highlight the importance of capturing the nature and the persistence of the shocks when studying the effects of construction sector delays on housing market dynamics.
DOI 10.1016/j.jhe.2014.09.005
Cilt 26
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Housing market dynamics with delays in the construction sector

Author Bahadır, Berrak, Mykhaylova, O.
Publication Date 2014-12
Publication Place - Elsevier
Subject House prices, Building permits, Construction delays, Supply shocks
Type Periodical
Language English
Digital Yes
Manuscript No
Library Özyeğin University
Library Asset ID 1051-1377
Record ID 15565d64-6326-4a48-bac6-cf8fd204462b
Library Location Economics
Date 2014-12
Sample Text Housing supply is subject to several types of delays. On average, it takes 6 months to get approved for a residential building permit and another 2–4 quarters to complete a construction project. We present a simple two-sector model that incorporates these observations and show that the effect of these delays is not uniform: while they amplify the response of house prices to demand shocks, they dampen the effects of housing supply shocks. Moreover, construction activity depends on the relative duration of the shocks and the construction delays: delays dampen construction booms following temporary shocks, but exaggerate building activity following permanent changes in demand or supply conditions. Our results highlight the importance of capturing the nature and the persistence of the shocks when studying the effects of construction sector delays on housing market dynamics.
DOI 10.1016/j.jhe.2014.09.005
Cilt 26
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