Author
Alkaya, A. F., Gultekin, O. G., Danaci, E., Duman, Ekrem
Publication Date
2020
Publication Place
-
Old City Publishing
Subject
Time series, Forecasting, Regression, Neural networks, Automated teller machine cash demands, Fuzzy time series, Computational intelligence
Type
Periodical
Language
English
Digital
Yes
Manuscript
No
Library
Özyeğin University
Library Asset ID
1542-3980
Record ID
1bc5d0cd-54fa-429a-8157-ec4bf6e8f4f7
Library Location
Industrial Engineering
Date
2020
Sample Text
We take up the problem of forecasting the amount of money to be withdrawn from automated teller machines (ATM). We compare the performances of eleven different algorithms from four different research areas on two different datasets. The exploited algorithms are fuzzy time series, multiple linear regression, artificial neural network, autoregressive integrated moving average, gaussian process regression, support vector regression, long-short term memory, simultaneous perturbation stochastic approximation, migrating birds optimization, differential evolution, and particle swarm optimization. The first dataset is very volatile and is obtained from a Turkish bank whereas the more stationary second dataset is obtained from a UK bank which was used in competitions previously. We use mean absolute deviation (MAD) to compare the algorithms since it provides a universal comparison ability independent of the magnitude of the data. The results show that support vector regression (SVR) performs the best on both data sets with a very short run time.
Cilt
35