The golden rule of forecasting: objections, refinements, and enhancements

Name: The golden rule of forecasting: objections, refinements, and enhancements
Author: Soyer, Emre, Hogarth, R. M.

İsim	The golden rule of forecasting: objections, refinements, and enhancements
Yazar	Soyer, Emre, Hogarth, R. M.
Basım Tarihi:	2015-08
Basım Yeri	- Elsevier
Konu	Conservative, Golden Rule, Scenario, Simulation
Tür	Süreli Yayın
Dil	İngilizce
Dijital	Evet
Yazma	Hayır
Kütüphane:	Özyeğin Üniversitesi
Demirbaş Numarası	0148-2963
Kayıt Numarası	6e9f70ce-a482-437c-8edb-8946a2d7db36
Lokasyon	Business Administration
Tarih	2015-08
Notlar	Due to copyright restrictions, the access to the full text of this article is only available via subscription.
Örnek Metin	In providing a “golden rule” for forecasting, Armstrong, Green, and Graefe (this issue) raise aspirations that reliable forecasting is possible. They advocate a conservative approach that mainly involves extrapolating from the present. We comment on three issues that relate to their proposed Golden Rule: its scope of application, the importance of highly improbable events, and the challenges of communicating forecasts.
DOI	10.1016/j.jbusres.2015.03.029
Cilt	68

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The golden rule of forecasting: objections, refinements, and enhancements

Yazar Soyer, Emre, Hogarth, R. M.

Basım Tarihi 2015-08

Basım Yeri - Elsevier

Konu Conservative, Golden Rule, Scenario, Simulation

Tür Süreli Yayın

Dil İngilizce

Dijital Evet

Yazma Hayır

Kütüphane Özyeğin Üniversitesi

Demirbaş Numarası 0148-2963

Kayıt Numarası 6e9f70ce-a482-437c-8edb-8946a2d7db36

Lokasyon Business Administration

Tarih 2015-08

Notlar Due to copyright restrictions, the access to the full text of this article is only available via subscription.

Örnek Metin In providing a “golden rule” for forecasting, Armstrong, Green, and Graefe (this issue) raise aspirations that reliable forecasting is possible. They advocate a conservative approach that mainly involves extrapolating from the present. We comment on three issues that relate to their proposed Golden Rule: its scope of application, the importance of highly improbable events, and the challenges of communicating forecasts.

DOI 10.1016/j.jbusres.2015.03.029

Cilt 68