Author
Battarra, M., Koyuncu, Burcu Balçık, Xu, H.
Publication Date
2018-09-01
Publication Place
-
Elsevier
Subject
OR in disaster relief, Disaster preparedness, Earthquake forecasting, Inventory allocation, Humanitarian relief, Bayesian-analysis, Seismic hazard, Emergency supplies, Fault zone, Management, Logistics, Turkey, Occurrences, Models
Type
Periodical
Language
English
Digital
Yes
Manuscript
No
Library
Özyeğin University
Library Asset ID
0377-2217
Record ID
96d83d19-302f-4edf-b30e-b158194a70b4
Library Location
Industrial Engineering
Date
2018-09-01
Sample Text
Analyzing the uncertainties associated with disaster occurrences is critical to make effective disaster preparedness plans. In this study, we focus on pre-positioning emergency supplies for earthquake preparedness. We present a new method to compute earthquake likelihood and the number of the affected people. Our approach utilizes forecasting methods from the earthquake engineering literature, and avoids using probabilistic scenarios to represent the uncertainties related to earthquake occurrences. We validate the proposed technique by using historical earthquake data from Turkey, a country under significant earthquake risk. We also present a case study that illustrates the implementation of our method to solve the inventory allocation problem of the Turkish Red Crescent
DOI
10.1016/j.ejor.2018.02.014
Cilt
269