Refugees and elections: the effects of Syrians on voting behavior in Turkey

Name: Refugees and elections: the effects of Syrians on voting behavior in Turkey
Author: Fisunoğlu, A., Sert, Deniz Şenol

İsim	Refugees and elections: the effects of Syrians on voting behavior in Turkey
Yazar	Fisunoğlu, A., Sert, Deniz Şenol
Basım Tarihi:	2019-04
Basım Yeri	- Wiley
Tür	Süreli Yayın
Dil	İngilizce
Dijital	Evet
Yazma	Hayır
Kütüphane:	Özyeğin Üniversitesi
Demirbaş Numarası	0020-7985
Kayıt Numarası	d5908326-bbf4-44d8-b041-e2a55d2353d6
Lokasyon	International Relations
Tarih	2019-04
Örnek Metin	In the wake of the Syrian civil war, more than three million people have fled to Turkey, which now hosts the largest refugee population on earth. Making up 4.42 per cent of the total population in Turkey as of February 2018, Syrian refugees are nevertheless spread unevenly within its borders. The ratio of refugees to the local population ranges from as high as 99per cent in the city of Kilis to as low as 0.05per cent in Sinop. This article presents findings from the empirical study of the effect of this geographical variation on election outcomes in Turkey, after the arrival of major refugee populations in 2012. Drawing on a unique subnational dataset and ordinary least squares (OLS), generalized least squares (GLS), and difference-in-differences (DiD) regressions, the study compares cities hosting few refugees (control group) with cities with large refugee populations (treatment group) to determine whether significant differences in voting patterns emerged. Our findings show a negative, but insignificant, impact on the incumbent party. The findings have policy implications for Turkey as well as any country that experiences a considerable flow of refugees.
DOI	10.1111/imig.12455
Cilt	57

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Refugees and elections: the effects of Syrians on voting behavior in Turkey

Yazar Fisunoğlu, A., Sert, Deniz Şenol

Basım Tarihi 2019-04

Basım Yeri - Wiley

Tür Süreli Yayın

Dil İngilizce

Dijital Evet

Yazma Hayır

Kütüphane Özyeğin Üniversitesi

Demirbaş Numarası 0020-7985

Kayıt Numarası d5908326-bbf4-44d8-b041-e2a55d2353d6

Lokasyon International Relations

Tarih 2019-04

Örnek Metin In the wake of the Syrian civil war, more than three million people have fled to Turkey, which now hosts the largest refugee population on earth. Making up 4.42 per cent of the total population in Turkey as of February 2018, Syrian refugees are nevertheless spread unevenly within its borders. The ratio of refugees to the local population ranges from as high as 99per cent in the city of Kilis to as low as 0.05per cent in Sinop. This article presents findings from the empirical study of the effect of this geographical variation on election outcomes in Turkey, after the arrival of major refugee populations in 2012. Drawing on a unique subnational dataset and ordinary least squares (OLS), generalized least squares (GLS), and difference-in-differences (DiD) regressions, the study compares cities hosting few refugees (control group) with cities with large refugee populations (treatment group) to determine whether significant differences in voting patterns emerged. Our findings show a negative, but insignificant, impact on the incumbent party. The findings have policy implications for Turkey as well as any country that experiences a considerable flow of refugees.

DOI 10.1111/imig.12455

Cilt 57